What Is The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average & How To Trade With It

Fractal Adaptive Moving Averages

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average or better known as FRAMA, is a technical indicator developed by John Ehlers.

The indicator is based on the algorithm that utilizes EMA (exponential moving average) and prevailing price fractals.

What is the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average?

According to John Ehlers, that market prices are fractal. Fractals are intricate patterns that create continuous shapes. Fractal shapes are almost similar. This means they have similar characteristics. This definition is based on a mathematical principle.

John Ehlers stated that if a certain pattern is removed from charts like a 5-minute or a daily chart, a trader may find it difficult to separate them. This is the characteristic that makes markets fractal.

Fractal Adaptive Moving Average on a chart
Fractal Adaptive Moving Average on a chart

 

Fractal Moving Average calculation

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average calculation is very complex and requires a certain set of elements for gauging price patterns.

FRAMA (I ) = A (i) * Price (i) + (1 – A(i)) * FRAMA(i-1)

Where;

FRAMA (i) — current value of FRAMA;

Price (i) — current price;

FRAMA(i-1) — previous value of FRAMA;

A (i) — a current factor of exponential smoothing.

The EMA is calculated as:

A (i) = EXP (-4.6 * (D(i) – 1))

Where:

D (i) — current fractal dimension;

EXP() — a mathematical function of an exponent.

The dimensions of the Fractals in a straight line is equal to 1. So, if D = 1, then A = EXP(-4.6 *(1-1)) = EXP(0) = 1.

Now the formula looks like

FRAMA (i) = 1 * Price (i) + (1 — 1) * FRAMA (i—1) = Price (i)

In a plane the fractal dimensions are equal to 2. By putting this value in the formula:

A = EXP (-4.6*(2-1)) = EXP (-4.6) = 0.01.

The smaller values have the same period like 200-period SMA.

Now the formula of fractal dimension is:

D = (LOG (N1 + N2) – LOG (N3))/LOG (2)

It is calculated separately as:

N (Length,i) = (HighestPrice (i) – LowestPrice (i))/Length

Where:

HighestPrice (i) — current period’s maximum length

LowestPrice (i) — current period’s minimum length;

Values N1, N2, and N3 are equal to:

N1 (i) = N (Length,i)

N2 (i) = N (Length,i + Length)

N3(i) = N (2 * Length,i)

How to use Fractal Adaptive Moving Average?

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average indicator tells the average difference between the highest highs and the lowest lows, depending on the period’s length. The length of the period length may vary according to the trader.

The values obtained through the above-mentioned formula takes the shape of FRAMA. The FRAMA points out crucial price changes. If the price moves in a particular direction, then the indicator follows it.

The two lines that represent the FRAMA illustrates buy and sell signals. If the red line crosses the blue line from above, it’s considered a buy signal. Conversely, when the red line crosses below the blue line, it’s considered a  sell signal. Traders can choose if they want to enter the markets and place stop-losses near recent highs and lows. This will depend on the individual trading strategy and money management being implemented.

Fractal Adaptive Moving Average trading strategy

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average can be applied on any timeframe and trading instruments. Thus, every type of trader can apply FRAMA as part of their trading strategy.

Fractal Adaptive Moving Average buy strategy

  • The red line should cross above the blue line.
  • Wait for the price bar to go bullish before entry.
  • Place a stop-loss near the recent swing low.
  • Exit the trade on high.

Fractal Adaptive Moving Average sell strategy

  • The red line should cross below the blue line.
  • Wait for the price bar to go bearish before entry.
  • Place a stop-loss near the recent swing high.
  • Exit the trade on low.

Fractal Adaptive Moving Average conclusion

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average can be used on your trading platform charts to help filter potential trading signals as part of an overall trading strategy. Although the calculation of the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average is complex, the outcome can help traders. It mentions exact entry and exit points, and can be used to try and follow the direction of the overall trend.

I would prefer to use the majority of market analysis such as the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average on the 1-hour charts and above. I tend to find that these charts contain less market noise than the lower time frames and thus give more reliable signals for my forex trading strategies. This also means that I spend less time staring at charts and can also set alert notifications to let me know when price has reached certain levels, candlestick pattern has been formed or a particular indicator value has been reached.

The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average is just one method of market analysis amongst thousands. I would not build a trading system alone, but rather combine with other technical indicators such as moving averages, Parabolic SAR, Stochastic Oscillator, RSI, ADX and price action analysis.

Of course, every trading system will generate false signals which is why money management is so important. I would personally be implementing sensible money management and only take traders that give me a favorable risk to reward ratio, ideally of at least 1:3. This means that one losing trade does not wipe out consecutive winners.

The methods of implementing the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average into a trading strategy that are outlined within this article are just ideas. I would always ensure that I have good money management, trading discipline and a trading plan when using any forex strategy.

Furthermore, I would combine multiple technical analysis, fundamental analysis, price action analysis and sentiment analysis to filter all entries. You should trade forex in a way that suits your own individual style, needs and goals.

If you would like to practice trading with the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average, you can open an account with a forex broker and download a trading platform. If you are looking for a forex broker, you may wish to view my best forex brokers for some inspiration.

Happy trading!